Research papers

Research paper library

Individual paper pages with plain-language summaries, key findings, FAQ schema, and clean citation blocks. Add each new paper once in the papers collection and it will appear here automatically.

  • Cover of Darren Coppin's 2018 PhD thesis, A Psychosocial Stage of Change Approach to Improve Employment Outcomes for the Unemployed, Australian Catholic University — behavioural science and stage-matched intervention for unemployment.

    Published Submitted 17 December 2018 — Australian Catholic University

    A Psychosocial Stage of Change Approach to Unemployment

    Improving Employment Outcomes for the Unemployed Through Behavioural Science

    DOI: 10.26199/5ddf4b721bd86

    Sample: 24,085 Australian jobseekers across four studies

    The thesis behind the algorithm. Four large-scale studies in Australian employment services that established the scientific foundation for stage-matched behavioural intervention. This is the methodology now used by ethyx to predict employee retention.

  • Cover graphic for Validating a Stage of Change Tool to Predict Employment Outcomes (Coppin, 2017), Journal of Rehabilitation — isometric blue pathway through blocks toward employment outcomes.

    Published April/May/June 2017 — Journal of Rehabilitation, Volume 83, Number 2, pp. 3–10

    Validating a Stage of Change Tool to Predict Employment Outcomes

    The peer-reviewed validation study behind the Assessment of Work Readiness (AWR)

    Sample: 1,213 Australian jobseekers, with and without disability

    The "holy grail" of employment support. A jobseeker classification tool that accurately assesses long-term unemployment likelihood was described by the UK House of Commons Work and Pensions Committee as "the holy grail of employment support." This paper is the validated answer.

  • Cover of A Jobseeker Segmentation and Intervention Model by Coppin et al. (2020), showing staged panels and headline finding of 41.9% increase in job placements and 14:1 ROI.

    Published 2020 — OSF Preprints, Center for Open Science

    A Jobseeker Segmentation & Intervention Model

    Evaluation of the Treatment Utility of a Jobseeker Segmentation and Intervention Program

    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/ny8mk

    Sample: 22,516 Australian jobseekers across two studies

    A psychosocial intervention combined with stage-matched one-to-one coaching produced a 41.9% increase in job placements across all stages of jobseeker readiness — a 14:1 return on government investment.